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Population projection for Canada from 2021 to 2075, by gender

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Source

Release date

January 2026

Region

Canada

Survey time period

July 1st, 2025

Supplementary notes

Shown here is the medium-growth (M1) scenario, which contains the following assumptions at the Canada level: the total fertility rate reaches 1.59 children per woman in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter; life expectancy at birth reaches 83.7 years for males and 87.4 years for females in 2042/2043; interprovincial migration is based on linear interpolation of recently observed migration rates (average of rates observed between 2018/2019 and 2020/2021) to rates observed over a long period of time (average periods 1991/1992 to 2016/2017) reached in 2030/2031, and rates that remain constant thereafter; the immigration rate reaches 0.83% in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter; the annual number of non-permanent residents reaches 1,795,800 in 2043 and remains constant thereafter; the net emigration rate reaches 0.15% in 2042/2043 and remains constant thereafter. Adapted from Statistics Canada, statcan.gc.ca, July 1st, 2025. This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.

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Canada: resident population projection 2021-2075, by gender

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