According to the source, projections were made based on the "Current Trajectory" scenario, based on current energy policies and decarbonization targets, assuming that carbon emissions will peak in the mid-2020s and decrease by around 25 percent by 2050.
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Global primary energy consumption 2000-2050, by energy source
Global primary energy consumption has increased dramatically in recent years and is projected to continue to increase until 2045. Only renewable energy consumption is expected to increase between 2045 and 2050 and reach almost 30 percent of the global energy consumption.
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BP. (September 25, 2025). Primary energy consumption worldwide from 2000 to 2023, with a forecast until 2050, by energy source (in exajoules) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 15, 2026, from /statistics/222066/projected-global-energy-consumption-by-source/
BP. "Primary energy consumption worldwide from 2000 to 2023, with a forecast until 2050, by energy source (in exajoules)." Chart. September 25, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 15, 2026. /statistics/222066/projected-global-energy-consumption-by-source/
BP. (2025). Primary energy consumption worldwide from 2000 to 2023, with a forecast until 2050, by energy source (in exajoules). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 15, 2026. /statistics/222066/projected-global-energy-consumption-by-source/
BP. "Primary Energy Consumption Worldwide from 2000 to 2023, with a Forecast until 2050, by Energy Source (in Exajoules)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 25 Sep 2025, /statistics/222066/projected-global-energy-consumption-by-source/
BP, Primary energy consumption worldwide from 2000 to 2023, with a forecast until 2050, by energy source (in exajoules) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/222066/projected-global-energy-consumption-by-source/ (last visited July 15, 2026)
Primary energy consumption worldwide from 2000 to 2023, with a forecast until 2050, by energy source (in exajoules) [Graph], BP, September 25, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/222066/projected-global-energy-consumption-by-source/