The Conservative Party of Canada held a consistent and widening lead over the Liberal Party from 2022-2024, with a margin of almost 30 percent in December 2024. However, a series of events in early 2025 saw this margin shrink sharply, with the Liberals even moving ahead in the polls by March and into April.
As of April, the Liberal Party was expected to win 190 seats, up from just 41 in January. It should be noted that Canada uses a first-past-the-posts electoral system, where the party that wins the most seats in parliament can do so without winning the nationwide popular vote.
Profit from the additional features of your individual account
Currently, you are using a shared account. To use individual functions (e.g., mark statistics as favourites, set
statistic alerts) please log in with your personal account.
If you are an admin, please authenticate by logging in again.
Learn more about how ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ can support your business.
338Canada. (April 24, 2025). Canadian federal election seat projection from April 2024 to April 2025 [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 26, 2026, from /statistics/1611219/canada-federal-election-seat-projection/
338Canada. "Canadian federal election seat projection from April 2024 to April 2025." Chart. April 24, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 26, 2026. /statistics/1611219/canada-federal-election-seat-projection/
338Canada. (2025). Canadian federal election seat projection from April 2024 to April 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 26, 2026. /statistics/1611219/canada-federal-election-seat-projection/
338Canada. "Canadian Federal Election Seat Projection from April 2024 to April 2025." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 24 Apr 2025, /statistics/1611219/canada-federal-election-seat-projection/
338Canada, Canadian federal election seat projection from April 2024 to April 2025 ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1611219/canada-federal-election-seat-projection/ (last visited July 26, 2026)
Canadian federal election seat projection from April 2024 to April 2025 [Graph], 338Canada, April 24, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1611219/canada-federal-election-seat-projection/
