Projected mental healthcare workers shortage - percent adequacy U.S. 2038| ��ƽ��

Percentage adequacy of behavioral and mental healthcare workers in the United States in 2038, by profession/specialty

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Release date

December 2025

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Region

United States

Survey time period

2038

Special properties

Based on 'status quo' scenario**

Supplementary notes

The source provides the following information:

Percent adequacy is the relationship between the projected future supply and projected future demand. It is the quotient of supply divided by demand.

*All physicians (included for comparison):��Includes physicians from all specialties. Excludes Adult Psychiatrists and Child & Adolescent Psychiatrists. Includes All Primary Care Physicians and Obstetrics & Gynecology Physicians.

**Two other scenarios were provided, resulting in even higher shortages: Unmet Need assumes increased demand, and Elevated Need assumes both increased demand and improved access.

Citation formats

The predicted adequacy of child and adolescent psychiatrists in the United States in 2038 is ** percent. This means that there is a shortfall of ** percent. This equates to roughly C&A psychiatrists.

Whether there is a shortage in behavioral and mental healthcare workers depends on the profession. In 2038, there was actually a surplus of psychiatric nurse practitioners projected, as was the case for child, family, and school social workers. Among the listed behavioral health providers, addiction counselors will be most in demand, with a projected shortfall of ** percent.