Projected healthcare workers shortage U.S. 2038| ��ƽ��

Percentage adequacy of healthcare workers in the United States in 2038, by profession/specialty

Characteristic	Percent adequacy
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Release date

December 2025

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Region

United States

Survey time period

2038

Supplementary notes

The source provides the following information:

Percent adequacy is the relationship between the projected future supply and projected future demand. It is the quotient of supply divided by demand.

*All physicians: Includes physicians from all specialties. Excludes Adult Psychiatrists and Child & Adolescent Psychiatrists. Includes All Primary Care Physicians and Obstetrics & Gynecology Physicians.
All dentists: includes general dentists, pediatric dentists, endodontists, periodontists, oral surgeons, orthodontists, and other dentists.
Primary care physicians: Includes Family Medicine Physicians, Geriatrics Physicians, General Internal Medicine Physicians, and Pediatrics Physicians.

Citation formats

The predicted adequacy of all physicians in the United States in 2038 is ** percent. This means that there is a shortfall of ** percent. The projected shortage of *** thousand physicians varied widely by rurality; thus, there was generally a lower percent adequacy in non-metro areas, indicating a greater deficit in rural areas.

Whether there is a shortage in healthcare workers also depends on the profession. In 2038, there was actually a surplus of nurse practitioners projected, as was the case for physician assistants. Among the listed physician specialties, adult psychiatrists were most in demand.