Carbon dioxide removals includes captured and stored emissions from the combustion of bioenergy and renewable wastes; from biofuels production; and from direct air capture.
The Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS): This scenario offers an overview of the expected trajectory for the energy system, grounded in a thorough analysis of existing policy frameworks.
Announced Pledges Scenario (APS): This scenario presents a path for the energy sector assuming that all national energy and climate commitments, including long-term net-zero emissions targets, are fully achieved and adhered to on schedule.
Net Zero Emissions by 2050 (NZE) Scenario: This scenario outlines a pathway where the global energy sector reaches net zero carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions by 2050, in alignment with the goal of keeping the long-term global average temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius (°C).
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Global COâ‚‚ removal projections 2023-2050, by scenario
Global carbon dioxide removals amounted to * metric tons (MtCOâ‚‚) in 2023. Under a stated policies scenario, COâ‚‚ removals are projected to ** MtCOâ‚‚. Under a Net Zero Emissions by 2050 scenario, some *** GtCOâ‚‚ would be removed from the atmosphere per year by mid-century.
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IEA. (October 16, 2024). Carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) removals worldwide in 2023, with projections from 2030 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 22, 2026, from /statistics/1618305/carbon-dioxide-removal-projections-by-scenario/
IEA. "Carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) removals worldwide in 2023, with projections from 2030 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide)." Chart. October 16, 2024. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 22, 2026. /statistics/1618305/carbon-dioxide-removal-projections-by-scenario/
IEA. (2024). Carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) removals worldwide in 2023, with projections from 2030 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 22, 2026. /statistics/1618305/carbon-dioxide-removal-projections-by-scenario/
IEA. "Carbon Dioxide (Coâ‚‚) Removals Worldwide in 2023, with Projections from 2030 to 2050, by Scenario (in Million Metric Tons of Carbon Dioxide)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 16 Oct 2024, /statistics/1618305/carbon-dioxide-removal-projections-by-scenario/
IEA, Carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) removals worldwide in 2023, with projections from 2030 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1618305/carbon-dioxide-removal-projections-by-scenario/ (last visited July 22, 2026)
Carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) removals worldwide in 2023, with projections from 2030 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide) [Graph], IEA, October 16, 2024. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1618305/carbon-dioxide-removal-projections-by-scenario/