Perceived impact that Joe Biden's decision to step aside as the Democratic nominee will have on the presidential election in the United States in 2024, by political party
Characteristic
Democrat
Independent
Republican
It makes Donald Trump more likely to win
22%
34%
53%
It makes Donald Trump less likely to win
37%
23%
8%
It will have no impact on Donald Trump's chances
15%
17%
24%
Not sure
26%
26%
15%
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Following the inaugural presidential debate of 2024, many Democrats across the country expressed disappointment in Biden's performance, arguing that he was no longer fit to serve as president. In the following weeks, Biden’s polling and campaign financing had fallen to record lows, forcing Biden and his aides to come to terms with the fact that his chances of winning the election were slim.Â
On July 21, he announced that he would step aside, endorsing Kamala Harris to take his place. Seeing as how the path forward remains uncharted territory, Americans are not certain exactly how this will impact the election in November. Just over half of Republicans think it strengthen's Trumps chances of winning, compared to 22 percent of surveyed Democrats.Â
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YouGov. (July 22, 2024). Perceived impact that Joe Biden's decision to step aside as the Democratic nominee will have on the presidential election in the United States in 2024, by political party [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 14, 2026, from /statistics/1481165/impact-biden-stepping-down-presidential-election-us/
YouGov. "Perceived impact that Joe Biden's decision to step aside as the Democratic nominee will have on the presidential election in the United States in 2024, by political party." Chart. July 22, 2024. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 14, 2026. /statistics/1481165/impact-biden-stepping-down-presidential-election-us/
YouGov. (2024). Perceived impact that Joe Biden's decision to step aside as the Democratic nominee will have on the presidential election in the United States in 2024, by political party. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 14, 2026. /statistics/1481165/impact-biden-stepping-down-presidential-election-us/
YouGov. "Perceived Impact That Joe Biden's Decision to Step aside as The Democratic Nominee Will Have on The Presidential Election in The United States in 2024, by Political Party." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 22 Jul 2024, /statistics/1481165/impact-biden-stepping-down-presidential-election-us/
YouGov, Perceived impact that Joe Biden's decision to step aside as the Democratic nominee will have on the presidential election in the United States in 2024, by political party ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1481165/impact-biden-stepping-down-presidential-election-us/ (last visited July 14, 2026)
Perceived impact that Joe Biden's decision to step aside as the Democratic nominee will have on the presidential election in the United States in 2024, by political party [Graph], YouGov, July 22, 2024. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1481165/impact-biden-stepping-down-presidential-election-us/