The source specifies that all the scenarios considered that it was not possible to take international travels from China since January 2020 as well as from Japan and South Korea since February 2020.
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Impact of the coronavirus on inbound overnight stays in Italy 2020-2024, by scenario
A study from December 2020 analyzed the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on international tourist overnight stays in Italy from 2020 to 2024. It presented three alternative scenarios. According to the baseline scenario, inbound overnight stays in Italy are expected to decrease by ** percent in 2020 over the previous year.
The upside scenario, which considers a faster recovery, forecast that inbound overnight stays will go down by ** percent in 2020. Finally, the downside scenario, supposing a slower recovery, estimated that inbound overnight stays could drop by ** percent. For further information about the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, please visit our dedicated Facts and Figures page.
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Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. (December 23, 2020). Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international tourist overnight stays in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved August 01, 2026, from /statistics/1113910/coronavirus-impact-on-inbound-tourist-overnight-stays-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. "Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international tourist overnight stays in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario." Chart. December 23, 2020. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed August 01, 2026. /statistics/1113910/coronavirus-impact-on-inbound-tourist-overnight-stays-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. (2020). Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international tourist overnight stays in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: August 01, 2026. /statistics/1113910/coronavirus-impact-on-inbound-tourist-overnight-stays-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. "Estimated Impact of The Coronavirus (Covid-19) on International Tourist Overnight Stays in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by Scenario." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 23 Dec 2020, /statistics/1113910/coronavirus-impact-on-inbound-tourist-overnight-stays-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo, Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international tourist overnight stays in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1113910/coronavirus-impact-on-inbound-tourist-overnight-stays-in-italy-by-scenario/ (last visited August 01, 2026)
Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international tourist overnight stays in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario [Graph], Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo, December 23, 2020. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1113910/coronavirus-impact-on-inbound-tourist-overnight-stays-in-italy-by-scenario/