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The number of home sales in the United States peaked in 2021 at almost million after steadily rising since 2018. Nevertheless, the market contracted in the following year, with transaction volumes falling to *** million. Home sales remained muted in 2025, with a mild increase expected in 2026 and 2027. A major factor driving this trend is the unprecedented increase in mortgage interest rates due to high inflation.

How have U.S. home prices developed over time?

The average sales price of new homes has also been rising since 2011. Buyer confidence seems to have recovered after the property crash, which has increased demand for homes and also the prices sellers are demanding for homes. At the same time, the affordability of U.S. homes has decreased. Both the number of existing and newly built homes sold has declined since the housing market boom during the coronavirus pandemic.

Challenges in housing supply

The number of housing units in the U.S. rose steadily between 1975 and 2005 but has remained fairly stable since then. Construction increased notably in the 1990s and early 2000s, with the number of construction starts steadily rising, before plummeting amid the infamous housing market crash. Housing starts slowly started to pick up in 2011, mirroring the economic recovery. In 2022, the supply of newly built homes plummeted again, as supply chain challenges following the COVID-19 pandemic and tariffs on essential construction materials such as steel and lumber led to prices soaring.