Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, United Kingdom, United States
Survey time period
Q1 2018 to Q1 2022
Supplementary notes
The source adds the following information: "Relative probability of recession in G7 economies indicates ratio of current probability to normal-times probability of a new recession."
Citation formats
Relative risk of recession in G7 economies 2018-2022
Between the first quarter of 2018 and the first quarter of 2022, the relative probability of recession in G7 economies was the highest in the first quarter of 2020, as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. The risk of recession started to increase again in the first quarter of 2022, due to the escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.
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IMF. (July 25, 2022). Relative risk of recession in G7 economies from 1st quarter 2018 to 1st quarter 2022 [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 25, 2026, from /statistics/1332258/recession-risk-g7-economies/
IMF. "Relative risk of recession in G7 economies from 1st quarter 2018 to 1st quarter 2022." Chart. July 25, 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 25, 2026. /statistics/1332258/recession-risk-g7-economies/
IMF. (2022). Relative risk of recession in G7 economies from 1st quarter 2018 to 1st quarter 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 25, 2026. /statistics/1332258/recession-risk-g7-economies/
IMF. "Relative Risk of Recession in G7 Economies from 1st Quarter 2018 to 1st Quarter 2022." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 25 Jul 2022, /statistics/1332258/recession-risk-g7-economies/
IMF, Relative risk of recession in G7 economies from 1st quarter 2018 to 1st quarter 2022 ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1332258/recession-risk-g7-economies/ (last visited July 25, 2026)
Relative risk of recession in G7 economies from 1st quarter 2018 to 1st quarter 2022 [Graph], IMF, July 25, 2022. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1332258/recession-risk-g7-economies/
