The source specifies that all the scenarios considered that it was not possible to take international travels from China since January 2020 as well as from Japan and South Korea since February 2020.
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Impact of the coronavirus on total tourist arrivals in Italy 2020-2024, by scenario
A study from December 2020 analyzed the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on international and domestic tourist arrivals in Italy from 2020 to 2024. It presented three alternative scenarios. According to the baseline scenario, Italy would experience a drop of ** million international and domestic arrivals in 2020 over the previous year. Then, tourist arrivals would return to the 2019 level only by 2023.
The upside scenario, which considers a faster recovery, forecas a decrease of ** million inbound arrivals in 2020. Finally, the downside scenario, supposing a slower recovery, estimated a decrease of ** million tourist arrivals in 2020. For further information about the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, please visit our dedicated Facts and Figures page.
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Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. (December 23, 2020). Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international and domestic tourist arrivals in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario (in millions) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved August 01, 2026, from /statistics/1130959/coronavirus-impact-on-tourist-arrivals-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. "Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international and domestic tourist arrivals in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario (in millions)." Chart. December 23, 2020. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed August 01, 2026. /statistics/1130959/coronavirus-impact-on-tourist-arrivals-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. (2020). Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international and domestic tourist arrivals in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario (in millions). ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: August 01, 2026. /statistics/1130959/coronavirus-impact-on-tourist-arrivals-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo. "Estimated Impact of The Coronavirus (Covid-19) on International and Domestic Tourist Arrivals in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by Scenario (in Millions)." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 23 Dec 2020, /statistics/1130959/coronavirus-impact-on-tourist-arrivals-in-italy-by-scenario/
Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo, Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international and domestic tourist arrivals in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario (in millions) ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1130959/coronavirus-impact-on-tourist-arrivals-in-italy-by-scenario/ (last visited August 01, 2026)
Estimated impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on international and domestic tourist arrivals in Italy from 2020 to 2024, by scenario (in millions) [Graph], Agenzia Nazionale del Turismo, December 23, 2020. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1130959/coronavirus-impact-on-tourist-arrivals-in-italy-by-scenario/
