The source specified that the Current Trajectory and Below 2° scenarios are not predictions and are based on the implications of various points of view considering existing technologies.Â
The Current Trajectory scenario focuses on the climate policies and pledges in place already, while the Below 2° scenario considers a significant fall in emissions and stricter climate policies.
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Energy production in Russia 2023-2050, by fuel and scenario
Annual oil production in Russia could decrease by over ** exajoules between 2023 and 2050 under the Below 2° scenario. In that case, natural gas would be the most-produced energy fuel in the country.
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BP. (September 24, 2025). Energy production in Russia in 2023 with scenarios until 2050, by fuel (in exajoules) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 26, 2026, from /statistics/1025669/russia-energy-production-forecast-by-fuel/
BP. "Energy production in Russia in 2023 with scenarios until 2050, by fuel (in exajoules)." Chart. September 24, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 26, 2026. /statistics/1025669/russia-energy-production-forecast-by-fuel/
BP. (2025). Energy production in Russia in 2023 with scenarios until 2050, by fuel (in exajoules). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 26, 2026. /statistics/1025669/russia-energy-production-forecast-by-fuel/
BP. "Energy Production in Russia in 2023 with Scenarios until 2050, by Fuel (in Exajoules)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 24 Sep 2025, /statistics/1025669/russia-energy-production-forecast-by-fuel/
BP, Energy production in Russia in 2023 with scenarios until 2050, by fuel (in exajoules) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1025669/russia-energy-production-forecast-by-fuel/ (last visited July 26, 2026)
Energy production in Russia in 2023 with scenarios until 2050, by fuel (in exajoules) [Graph], BP, September 24, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1025669/russia-energy-production-forecast-by-fuel/