
Ren茅 Muschter
Research Expert covering Industry & Mobility
The world is poised for a year of surplus oil production in 2025. One of the most traded commodities in the world, crude oil and its demand are important barometers for the health of the global economy. With the cost of living crisis affecting consumer behavior in major markets such as China and Germany, economic stagnation has already resulted in oil production outperforming demand to a degree that benchmark prices such as WTI and Brent have stayed far below 80 U.S. dollars per barrel since summer 2024. This trend is expected to continue well into 2025 and 2026 as greater upstream activity in non-OPEC countries, such as the United States and Guyana, is set to flood the market with more oil. The 2026 war between the U.S., Israel, and Iran impacts the flows of goods and commodities such as oil in the Persian Gulf. On the topic page, you can find updated information on the聽impact of the war on commodities.

Detailed statistics
Forecast global oil demand growth 2025, by key energy agency

Detailed statistics
Forecast global oil demand growth 2025, by key energy agency

Detailed statistics
Forecast global oil surplus 2025, by select forecast center

Growth of the real gross domestic product (GDP) worldwide 1980-2031, by country
Growth of the real gross domestic product (GDP) worldwide from 1980 to 2031, by selected country

Forecast global oil demand growth 2025, by key energy agency
Forecast year-on-year increase in crude oil demand worldwide in 2025, by select energy agency (in million barrels per day)

Forecast global oil demand 2030, by select forecast center and year of outlook
Differences between key energy institutions in forecast crude oil demand worldwide for 2030, by year of outlook (in million barrels per day)

Forecast global oil surplus 2025, by select forecast center
Differences between key energy institutions in forecast crude oil surplus worldwide in 2025 (in million barrels per day)

Monthly global liquid fuels production 2023-2025
Monthly petroleum and other liquids production worldwide from January 2023 to July 2025, with a forecast until December 2025 (in million barrels per day)

Monthly global liquid fuels production by global region 2023-2025
Monthly petroleum and other liquids production worldwide from July 2023 to July 2025, with a forecast until November 2025, by select oil-producing region (in million barrels per day)

Forecast non-OPEC oil supply growth 2025, by country
Forecast growth of oil production by non-OPEC countries worldwide in 2025 (in million barrels per day)

Global oil products demand outlook 2024-2050
Demand of selected oil products worldwide in 2024, with a forecast from 2030 to 2050 (in million barrels per day)

Global oil demand share outlook by product 2024-2050
Distribution of oil demand worldwide in 2024, with a forecast for 2050, by product

Global long-term oil demand outlook by region 2024-2050
Long-term oil demand worldwide in 2024, with a forecast for 2050, by region (in million barrels per day)

Global refinery closures and capacity additions 2025
Key figures on oil refining capacities and refinery closures worldwide in 2023, with a forecast for 2025

Global oil refinery closures 2020-2029, by region
Net oil refinery closures worldwide between 2020 and 2023, with a forecast for 2024 to 2029, by region (in million barrels per day)

Monthly global liquid fuels consumption 2023-2025
Monthly petroleum and other liquids consumption worldwide from January 2023 to July 2025, with a forecast until December 2025 (in million barrels per day)

Monthly global liquid fuels consumption by region 2023-2027
Monthly petroleum and other liquids consumption worldwide from January 2023 to January 2026, with a forecast until December 2027, by select region and country (in million barrels per day)

Brent oil price forecast 2022-2027
Spot prices for Brent crude oil from 2022 to 2024, with a forecast until 2027 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)

Annual refining margin in Northwest Europe 2023-2025
Annual average sweet hydrocracking refining margin in Northwest Europe in 2023 and 2024, with a forecast for 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)

West Texas Intermediate oil price forecast 2022-2027
Spot price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) from 2022 to 2024, with a forecast until 2027 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)

Annual gross refining margin in the U.S. 2023-2025
Annual average gross refining margin in the United States in 2023 and 2024, with a forecast for 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)

Global oil and gas extraction projects in FID stage 2024-2029
Number of oil and gas extraction projects in the final investment decision (FID) stage worldwide in 2024, with a forecast until 2029

Forecast global oil and gas extraction projects in FID stage 2025, by country
Countries with the highest forecast number of oil and gas extraction projects in the final investment decision (FID) stage worldwide in 2025

Global upstream oil and gas industry M&A deal value 2019-2025
Total value of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the upstream oil and gas industry worldwide from 2019 to 2024, with a forecast for 2025 (in billion U.S. dollars)
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