Net Zero Strategy baseline scenario based on emissions estimates from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) Assessment Report 5 without feedback global warming potentials
Supplementary notes
Based on central estimates of economic growth, fossil fuel prices, electricity generation costs, UK population and other key variables regularly updated. Contains all agreed policies where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of impact (i.e. including “planned” policies).
In recent decades, the United Kingdom has been shifting away from coal-fired power and transitioning to clean energy sources. This has seen carbon dioxide emissions in the UK drop by more than ** percent compared to 1990 levels. This trend is expected to continue in the coming decades, with projections showing that total carbon dioxide emissions will drop to *** million metric tons by 2050.
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GOV.UK. (December 17, 2024). Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2023 to 2050 (in million metric tons) [Graph]. In ƽ. Retrieved July 24, 2026, from /statistics/494827/co2-emissions-projection-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. "Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2023 to 2050 (in million metric tons)." Chart. December 17, 2024. ƽ. Accessed July 24, 2026. /statistics/494827/co2-emissions-projection-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. (2024). Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2023 to 2050 (in million metric tons). ƽ. ƽ Inc.. Accessed: July 24, 2026. /statistics/494827/co2-emissions-projection-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. "Projected Carbon Dioxide (Co₂) Emissions in The United Kingdom (Uk) from 2023 to 2050 (in Million Metric Tons)." ƽ, ƽ Inc., 17 Dec 2024, /statistics/494827/co2-emissions-projection-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK, Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2023 to 2050 (in million metric tons) ƽ, /statistics/494827/co2-emissions-projection-united-kingdom-uk/ (last visited July 24, 2026)
Projected carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2023 to 2050 (in million metric tons) [Graph], GOV.UK, December 17, 2024. [Online]. Available: /statistics/494827/co2-emissions-projection-united-kingdom-uk/