Excluding LULUCF Accounting Contribution, NBCS, Agriculture Measures, and WCI Credits
Supplementary notes
°Õ³ó±ðÌýReference Case scenario includes federal, provincial, and territorial policies and measures that were in place as of August 2023 and assume no further government action.
The Additional Measures Scenario includes all federal, provincial, and territorial policies and measures from the Reference Case as well as those that have been announced but have not been fully implemented
Adapted from Statistics Canada, canada.ca, 2019 to 2021. This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.
Citation formats
Emissions reduction pathway in Canada 2005-2035, by scenario
Between 2005 and 2021, Canada's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions fell by roughly ** percent. The North American country is aiming to reduce its GHG emissions by ** to ** percent below 2005 levels by 2030. This would see GHG emissions fall to at least *** million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCOâ‚‚e). Under the "additional measures" scenario, Canada's GHG emissions would fall by roughly ** percent by 2030, relative to 2005 levels. This would leave a gap of some ** MtCOâ‚‚e to be on track with its pathway to net zero by 2050.
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Environment and Climate Change Canada. (December 18, 2023). Greenhouse gas emission reduction pathway in Canada from 2005 to 2035, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 16, 2026, from /statistics/1379729/emission-reduction-pathway-canada/
Environment and Climate Change Canada. "Greenhouse gas emission reduction pathway in Canada from 2005 to 2035, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent)." Chart. December 18, 2023. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 16, 2026. /statistics/1379729/emission-reduction-pathway-canada/
Environment and Climate Change Canada. (2023). Greenhouse gas emission reduction pathway in Canada from 2005 to 2035, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent). ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 16, 2026. /statistics/1379729/emission-reduction-pathway-canada/
Environment and Climate Change Canada. "Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Pathway in Canada from 2005 to 2035, by Scenario (in Million Metric Tons of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent)." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 18 Dec 2023, /statistics/1379729/emission-reduction-pathway-canada/
Environment and Climate Change Canada, Greenhouse gas emission reduction pathway in Canada from 2005 to 2035, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1379729/emission-reduction-pathway-canada/ (last visited July 16, 2026)
Greenhouse gas emission reduction pathway in Canada from 2005 to 2035, by scenario (in million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) [Graph], Environment and Climate Change Canada, December 18, 2023. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1379729/emission-reduction-pathway-canada/
