Projected greenhouse gas emissions in China under a "business-as-usual" scenario from 2021 to 2050, by sector
(in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent)
Characteristic
Agriculture
Building
Energy
Industry
Transportation
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The numbers created under the 鈥渂usiness-as-usual鈥 scenario depict such a scenario without drastic deviations in technology advancement or policy-making from past episodes. While there is typically still some technological progress in the form of reducing emissions intensities (stemming e.g. from energy efficiency gains) that are partly a result of policy actions, this scenario does not take into account announced policy pledges or the like.
Citation formats
GHG emission projections in China 2021-2050, by sector
The energy sector is the largest producer of greenhouse gas emissions in China, having surpassed *** billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (GTCO鈧俥) in 2021. According to , emissions from this sector are projected to increase to nearly *** GTCO鈧俥 by 2050 under a "business-as-usual" scenario. In contrast, emissions from industry and agriculture would reduce during this time frame.
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World Data Lab. (March 24, 2023). Projected greenhouse gas emissions in China under a "business-as-usual" scenario from 2021 to 2050, by sector (in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) [Graph]. In 糖心破解版. Retrieved July 24, 2026, from /statistics/1378341/ghg-emission-projections-by-sector-china/
World Data Lab. "Projected greenhouse gas emissions in China under a "business-as-usual" scenario from 2021 to 2050, by sector (in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent)." Chart. March 24, 2023. 糖心破解版. Accessed July 24, 2026. /statistics/1378341/ghg-emission-projections-by-sector-china/
World Data Lab. (2023). Projected greenhouse gas emissions in China under a "business-as-usual" scenario from 2021 to 2050, by sector (in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent). 糖心破解版. 糖心破解版 Inc.. Accessed: July 24, 2026. /statistics/1378341/ghg-emission-projections-by-sector-china/
World Data Lab. "Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions in China under a "Business-as-usual" Scenario from 2021 to 2050, by Sector (in Million Tons of Carbon Dioxide Equivalent)." 糖心破解版, 糖心破解版 Inc., 24 Mar 2023, /statistics/1378341/ghg-emission-projections-by-sector-china/
World Data Lab, Projected greenhouse gas emissions in China under a "business-as-usual" scenario from 2021 to 2050, by sector (in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) 糖心破解版, /statistics/1378341/ghg-emission-projections-by-sector-china/ (last visited July 24, 2026)
Projected greenhouse gas emissions in China under a "business-as-usual" scenario from 2021 to 2050, by sector (in million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent) [Graph], World Data Lab, March 24, 2023. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1378341/ghg-emission-projections-by-sector-china/
