The Current Trajectory scenario is based on current energy policies and decarbonization targets, assuming that carbon emissions will decrease by 25 percent between 2023 and 2050. The Below two degrees scenario explores a shift in policies and societal behaviors and the introduction of new technologies that would drive carbon emissions to decrease by 95 percent by 2050.Â
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Global final energy demand 2023-2050, by sector and scenario
In 2023, the industrial sector accounted for the largest energy consumption worldwide, at 214 exajoules out of a total final energy consumption of 493 exajoules. Energy consumption is forecast to increase across all sectors in the current trajectory scenario by 2050, except for the transportation final energy consumption, which is forecast to remain stable.
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BP. (September 25, 2025). Final energy demand worldwide in 2023, with a forecast for 2050, by sector and scenario (in exajoules) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 20, 2026, from /statistics/1607356/projected-global-energy-demand-by-sector-and-scenario/
BP. "Final energy demand worldwide in 2023, with a forecast for 2050, by sector and scenario (in exajoules)." Chart. September 25, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 20, 2026. /statistics/1607356/projected-global-energy-demand-by-sector-and-scenario/
BP. (2025). Final energy demand worldwide in 2023, with a forecast for 2050, by sector and scenario (in exajoules). ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 20, 2026. /statistics/1607356/projected-global-energy-demand-by-sector-and-scenario/
BP. "Final Energy Demand Worldwide in 2023, with a Forecast for 2050, by Sector and Scenario (in Exajoules)." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 25 Sep 2025, /statistics/1607356/projected-global-energy-demand-by-sector-and-scenario/
BP, Final energy demand worldwide in 2023, with a forecast for 2050, by sector and scenario (in exajoules) ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1607356/projected-global-energy-demand-by-sector-and-scenario/ (last visited July 20, 2026)
Final energy demand worldwide in 2023, with a forecast for 2050, by sector and scenario (in exajoules) [Graph], BP, September 25, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1607356/projected-global-energy-demand-by-sector-and-scenario/
