According to a 2025 forecast, the rollback of U.S. federal tax credits could result in a net total of ** gigawatts of clean energy capacity not being deployed by 2030. In the short-term, the area serviced by the PJM ISO would suffer the most from such deployment losses. In the long-term, the MISO Midwest region was expected to see the greatest reduction in potential energy generating capacity, largely tied to utility-scale solar PV projects.
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Aurora Energy Research. (February 12, 2025). Forecast clean energy capacity losses attributed to reduced federal tax credits in the United States in 2030 and 2040, by ISO (in gigawatts) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 27, 2026, from /statistics/1558946/impact-of-us-ira-rollback-on-clean-energy-deployment/
Aurora Energy Research. "Forecast clean energy capacity losses attributed to reduced federal tax credits in the United States in 2030 and 2040, by ISO (in gigawatts)." Chart. February 12, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 27, 2026. /statistics/1558946/impact-of-us-ira-rollback-on-clean-energy-deployment/
Aurora Energy Research. (2025). Forecast clean energy capacity losses attributed to reduced federal tax credits in the United States in 2030 and 2040, by ISO (in gigawatts). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 27, 2026. /statistics/1558946/impact-of-us-ira-rollback-on-clean-energy-deployment/
Aurora Energy Research. "Forecast Clean Energy Capacity Losses Attributed to Reduced Federal Tax Credits in The United States in 2030 and 2040, by Iso (in Gigawatts)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 12 Feb 2025, /statistics/1558946/impact-of-us-ira-rollback-on-clean-energy-deployment/
Aurora Energy Research, Forecast clean energy capacity losses attributed to reduced federal tax credits in the United States in 2030 and 2040, by ISO (in gigawatts) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1558946/impact-of-us-ira-rollback-on-clean-energy-deployment/ (last visited July 27, 2026)
Forecast clean energy capacity losses attributed to reduced federal tax credits in the United States in 2030 and 2040, by ISO (in gigawatts) [Graph], Aurora Energy Research, February 12, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1558946/impact-of-us-ira-rollback-on-clean-energy-deployment/