Brazil were given the highest chance of winning the 2022 World Cup ahead of the tournament, with an estimated probability of 15.8 percent. Eventual winners Argentina were given the second-highest chance, with 12.6 percent.
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BBC. (November 16, 2022). Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022 [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 21, 2026, from /statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC. "Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022." Chart. November 16, 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 21, 2026. /statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC. (2022). Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 21, 2026. /statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC. "Teams with The Highest Chance of Winning The 2022 Fifa World Cup as of November 2022." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 16 Nov 2022, /statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
BBC, Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022 ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/ (last visited July 21, 2026)
Teams with the highest chance of winning the 2022 FIFA World Cup as of November 2022 [Graph], BBC, November 16, 2022. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1345230/most-likely-winners-mens-world-cup/
