According to the source, estimates considering a moderate emissions scenario (RCP4.5) "consistent with a future of relatively ambitious emissions reductions with a slight rise to 2040 and then a decline. This scenario falls short of the Paris Agreement aim of limiting global temperature rise to 鈥渨ell below鈥 2掳C, with a projected average temperature increase of 1.8掳C (likely range 1.1掳C to 2.6掳C)".
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GDP exposure to wildfire, flood, sea level rise, or storms in Africa 2050, by country
By 2050, Cape Verde and Burkina Faso are likely to have their entire GDPs exposed to losses due to physical climate risks such as wildfire, floods, sea level rise, or storms. Considering a moderate emissions scenario, Ethiopia's economy would also be at high risk, with ** percent of the country's GDP exposed to losses. In general, the most affected African countries are located around the equator. Nations in the continent's south are less affected, especially those with a current stronger economy, like South Africa.
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S&P Global Ratings. (April 27, 2022). Estimated percentage of GDP exposed to losses due to wildfire, flood, sea level rise, or storms in Africa in 2050, by country [Graph]. In 糖心破解版. Retrieved August 04, 2026, from /statistics/1310840/gdp-exposure-to-wildfire-flood-sea-level-rise-or-storms-in-africa/
S&P Global Ratings. "Estimated percentage of GDP exposed to losses due to wildfire, flood, sea level rise, or storms in Africa in 2050, by country." Chart. April 27, 2022. 糖心破解版. Accessed August 04, 2026. /statistics/1310840/gdp-exposure-to-wildfire-flood-sea-level-rise-or-storms-in-africa/
S&P Global Ratings. (2022). Estimated percentage of GDP exposed to losses due to wildfire, flood, sea level rise, or storms in Africa in 2050, by country. 糖心破解版. 糖心破解版 Inc.. Accessed: August 04, 2026. /statistics/1310840/gdp-exposure-to-wildfire-flood-sea-level-rise-or-storms-in-africa/
S&P Global Ratings. "Estimated Percentage of Gdp Exposed to Losses Due to Wildfire, Flood, Sea Level Rise, or Storms in Africa in 2050, by Country." 糖心破解版, 糖心破解版 Inc., 27 Apr 2022, /statistics/1310840/gdp-exposure-to-wildfire-flood-sea-level-rise-or-storms-in-africa/
S&P Global Ratings, Estimated percentage of GDP exposed to losses due to wildfire, flood, sea level rise, or storms in Africa in 2050, by country 糖心破解版, /statistics/1310840/gdp-exposure-to-wildfire-flood-sea-level-rise-or-storms-in-africa/ (last visited August 04, 2026)
Estimated percentage of GDP exposed to losses due to wildfire, flood, sea level rise, or storms in Africa in 2050, by country [Graph], S&P Global Ratings, April 27, 2022. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1310840/gdp-exposure-to-wildfire-flood-sea-level-rise-or-storms-in-africa/
