Data includes battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, and is based on a scenario where zero-emissions vehicles (including BEVs, PHEVs, and fuel-cell electric vehicles) account for 50 percent of the vehicle sales in the U.S. in 2030.
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Projected size of the EV parc in the U.S. by segment 2021-2030
Passenger cars will be the largest segment in the U.S. electric vehicle fleet in 2030, at just under **** million units. Light commercial vehicles are also projected to grow upward by millions, up from * in 2021 to *** millions in 2030. Due to infrastructure challenges, the truck and bus segments are expected to record a slower growth.
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McKinsey & Company. (April 18, 2022). Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 21, 2026, from /statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company. "Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s)." Chart. April 18, 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 21, 2026. /statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company. (2022). Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s). ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 21, 2026. /statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company. "Forecast Size of The Electric Vehicle Fleet in The United States between 2021 and 2030, by Segment (in 1,000s)." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 18 Apr 2022, /statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
McKinsey & Company, Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s) ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/ (last visited July 21, 2026)
Forecast size of the electric vehicle fleet in the United States between 2021 and 2030, by segment (in 1,000s) [Graph], McKinsey & Company, April 18, 2022. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1305470/us-electric-vehicle-fleet-size-segment-forecast/
