frequency in intensity of an agricultural and ecological drought event that occurred once in 10 years on average in a climate without human influence.
Supplementary notes
Projected changes are shown at global warming levels of 1°°ä, 1.5°°ä, 2°°ä, and 4°°ä and are relative to 1850-1900 representing a climate without human influence. The frequencies in intensity of 10-year extreme events from the base period
Citation formats
Future changes in frequency of decadal droughts 2021
Droughts are likely to become more frequent and more intense within the next few years. The risk of a decadal level agricultural and ecological drought occurring in drying regions will be nearly 2.4 times more likely to take place under a global warming level of two degrees Celsius.
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UNEP, & World Meteorological Organization, & IPCC. (August 9, 2021). Projected frequency of decadal agricultural and ecological droughts worldwide due to global warming as of 2021 [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 20, 2026, from /statistics/1260075/projected-agri-and-eco-droughts-global/
UNEP, und World Meteorological Organization, und IPCC. "Projected frequency of decadal agricultural and ecological droughts worldwide due to global warming as of 2021." Chart. August 9, 2021. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 20, 2026. /statistics/1260075/projected-agri-and-eco-droughts-global/
UNEP, World Meteorological Organization, IPCC. (2021). Projected frequency of decadal agricultural and ecological droughts worldwide due to global warming as of 2021. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 20, 2026. /statistics/1260075/projected-agri-and-eco-droughts-global/
UNEP, and World Meteorological Organization, and IPCC. "Projected Frequency of Decadal Agricultural and Ecological Droughts Worldwide Due to Global Warming as of 2021." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 9 Aug 2021, /statistics/1260075/projected-agri-and-eco-droughts-global/
UNEP & World Meteorological Organization & IPCC, Projected frequency of decadal agricultural and ecological droughts worldwide due to global warming as of 2021 ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1260075/projected-agri-and-eco-droughts-global/ (last visited July 20, 2026)
Projected frequency of decadal agricultural and ecological droughts worldwide due to global warming as of 2021 [Graph], UNEP, & World Meteorological Organization, & IPCC, August 9, 2021. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1260075/projected-agri-and-eco-droughts-global/