In a 2020 study, the predicted net present value (NPV) of expected losses in the petroleum products industry from supply chain disruptions was estimated around *** percent of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin. During that study, the NPV of predicted cumulative losses over 10 years in the commercial aerospace industry is estimated around ** percent of annual EBITDA.
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McKinsey & Company. (August 6, 2020). Predicted NPV of expected losses from supply chain disruptions worldwide as of 2020, by industry (in percentage point of EBITDA margin)* [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 18, 2026, from /statistics/1155388/global-net-present-value-expected-loss-supply-chain-disruption/
McKinsey & Company. "Predicted NPV of expected losses from supply chain disruptions worldwide as of 2020, by industry (in percentage point of EBITDA margin)*." Chart. August 6, 2020. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 18, 2026. /statistics/1155388/global-net-present-value-expected-loss-supply-chain-disruption/
McKinsey & Company. (2020). Predicted NPV of expected losses from supply chain disruptions worldwide as of 2020, by industry (in percentage point of EBITDA margin)*. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 18, 2026. /statistics/1155388/global-net-present-value-expected-loss-supply-chain-disruption/
McKinsey & Company. "Predicted Npv of Expected Losses from Supply Chain Disruptions Worldwide as of 2020, by Industry (in Percentage Point of Ebitda Margin)*." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 6 Aug 2020, /statistics/1155388/global-net-present-value-expected-loss-supply-chain-disruption/
McKinsey & Company, Predicted NPV of expected losses from supply chain disruptions worldwide as of 2020, by industry (in percentage point of EBITDA margin)* ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1155388/global-net-present-value-expected-loss-supply-chain-disruption/ (last visited July 18, 2026)
Predicted NPV of expected losses from supply chain disruptions worldwide as of 2020, by industry (in percentage point of EBITDA margin)* [Graph], McKinsey & Company, August 6, 2020. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1155388/global-net-present-value-expected-loss-supply-chain-disruption/