Reference Scenario: Based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices. Contains policies that have already been implemented and those planned policies (“EEP-ready†policies).
Low Prices: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with lower projected fossil fuel prices.Â
High Prices: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with higher projected fossil fuel prices.Â
Low economic Growth: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with lower projected economic growth (0.25 percentage points lower e.g. growth of 3% would become 2.75%).
High economic Growth: Similar assumptions to reference scenario but with higher projected economic growth (0.25 percentage points higher e.g. growth of 3% would become 3.25%).Â
Existing Policies: UNFCCC With Existing Measures scenario. Contains central price and growth assumptions but without any planned policies included.
Transportation sector carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) emissions in the United Kingdom are projected to decrease by roughly ** percent between 2023 and 2050 under the reference scenario. Under a scenario with similar assumptions to the reference scenario but with higher fossil fuel prices (FFP - high), transportation sector COâ‚‚ emissions would fall by the exact same amount, over the same time frame, to ** million metric tons (MtCOâ‚‚).
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GOV.UK. (December 17, 2024). Projected carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 31, 2026, from /statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. "Projected carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons)." Chart. December 17, 2024. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 31, 2026. /statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. (2024). Projected carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons). ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 31, 2026. /statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK. "Projected Carbon Dioxide (Coâ‚‚) Emissions from Transportation in The United Kingdom (Uk) from 2020 to 2050, by Scenario (in Million Metric Tons)." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 17 Dec 2024, /statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
GOV.UK, Projected carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons) ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/ (last visited July 31, 2026)
Projected carbon dioxide (COâ‚‚) emissions from transportation in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2050, by scenario (in million metric tons) [Graph], GOV.UK, December 17, 2024. [Online]. Available: /statistics/494895/co2-emissions-fuel-combustion-transport-united-kingdom-uk/
