Fairness in climate action depends on countries’ perspectives and interests, particularly considering their historical emissions and ability to act. To assess what’s fair, the Climate Action Tracker (CAT) reviewed over 40 studies, including those from the IPCC, that reflect different equity principles like historical responsibility, capacity, and equality. These studies help define a "fair share range" of emissions for each country. This range is built using a balanced approach to incorporate all major equity views and excludes outliers by focusing on the central 90% of estimates. The fair share range is then divided into ambition levels that correspond to global warming outcomes if all countries adopted similar levels of effort:
Critically Insufficient: >4°C warming
Highly Insufficient: 3–4°C
Insufficient: <3°C 2°C
Compatible: <2°C 1.5°C
Compatible: ≤1.5°C
Some countries may need to cut emissions drastically—potentially below zero by 2030—to meet their fair share. If such cuts are not feasible domestically, they should compensate by supporting emissions reductions abroad, such as through climate finance.
Citation formats
GHG emission pathways under fair share framework in China 2025-2050
Under the fair share framework, China would be allowed to emit just over ** gigatons of CO2-equivalent per year in 2025 to be on track with the 1.5°C target outlined in the Paris Agreement. However, as of 2023, the country was emitting close to ** gigatons of CO2-equivalent.
Profit from the additional features of your individual account
Currently, you are using a shared account. To use individual functions (e.g., mark statistics as favourites, set
statistic alerts) please log in with your personal account.
If you are an admin, please authenticate by logging in again.
Learn more about how ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ can support your business.
Climate Action Tracker. (June 17, 2025). Projected greenhouse gas emission scenarios under the fare share framework in China from 2025 to 2050 (in gigatons of CO2-equivalent per year) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 20, 2026, from /statistics/1616676/china-ghg-emissions-under-fair-share-framework-by-scenario/
Climate Action Tracker. "Projected greenhouse gas emission scenarios under the fare share framework in China from 2025 to 2050 (in gigatons of CO2-equivalent per year)." Chart. June 17, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 20, 2026. /statistics/1616676/china-ghg-emissions-under-fair-share-framework-by-scenario/
Climate Action Tracker. (2025). Projected greenhouse gas emission scenarios under the fare share framework in China from 2025 to 2050 (in gigatons of CO2-equivalent per year). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 20, 2026. /statistics/1616676/china-ghg-emissions-under-fair-share-framework-by-scenario/
Climate Action Tracker. "Projected Greenhouse Gas Emission Scenarios under The Fare Share Framework in China from 2025 to 2050 (in Gigatons of Co2-equivalent per Year)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 17 Jun 2025, /statistics/1616676/china-ghg-emissions-under-fair-share-framework-by-scenario/
Climate Action Tracker, Projected greenhouse gas emission scenarios under the fare share framework in China from 2025 to 2050 (in gigatons of CO2-equivalent per year) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1616676/china-ghg-emissions-under-fair-share-framework-by-scenario/ (last visited July 20, 2026)
Projected greenhouse gas emission scenarios under the fare share framework in China from 2025 to 2050 (in gigatons of CO2-equivalent per year) [Graph], Climate Action Tracker, June 17, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1616676/china-ghg-emissions-under-fair-share-framework-by-scenario/