As of January 2026, the overall impact of trade tariffs on real GDP in the U.S. was estimated at **** percentage points. The construction industry was expected to be the hardest hit, showing a decline of *** percentage points. On the other hand, durable manufacturing was forecast to see a boost of *** percentage points.
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The Budget Lab at Yale. (January 19, 2026). Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 22, 2026, from /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale. "Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector." Chart. January 19, 2026. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 22, 2026. /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale. (2026). Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 22, 2026. /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale. "Change in Long-run Real Gdp from Trade Tariffs in The United States as of January 19, 2026, by Sector." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 19 Jan 2026, /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/
The Budget Lab at Yale, Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/ (last visited July 22, 2026)
Change in long-run real GDP from trade tariffs in the United States as of January 19, 2026, by sector [Graph], The Budget Lab at Yale, January 19, 2026. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1614920/long-run-gdp-change-trump-tariffs-sector-us/