President Trump's ten percent tariffs on imports from China, which went into effect on February 4, 2025, are projected to have negative effects on both the GDP of China and the U.S. However, the effect on China's GDP is expected to be stronger and result in a contraction by **** percent in 2026 and 2027 compared to the baseline scenario. In contrast, the U.S. GDP is only projected to be **** percent lower than in the baseline scenario in 2027. If China retaliates, the negative effects on both countries might be stronger.
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Visual Capitalist. (February 5, 2025). Projected impact of 10 percent U.S. import tariffs on the GDP of China and the U.S. from 2025 to 2040 [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 26, 2026, from /statistics/1609839/china-impact-of-us-tariffs-on-gdp/
Visual Capitalist. "Projected impact of 10 percent U.S. import tariffs on the GDP of China and the U.S. from 2025 to 2040." Chart. February 5, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 26, 2026. /statistics/1609839/china-impact-of-us-tariffs-on-gdp/
Visual Capitalist. (2025). Projected impact of 10 percent U.S. import tariffs on the GDP of China and the U.S. from 2025 to 2040. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 26, 2026. /statistics/1609839/china-impact-of-us-tariffs-on-gdp/
Visual Capitalist. "Projected Impact of 10 Percent U.S. Import Tariffs on The Gdp of China and The U.S. from 2025 to 2040." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 5 Feb 2025, /statistics/1609839/china-impact-of-us-tariffs-on-gdp/
Visual Capitalist, Projected impact of 10 percent U.S. import tariffs on the GDP of China and the U.S. from 2025 to 2040 ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1609839/china-impact-of-us-tariffs-on-gdp/ (last visited July 26, 2026)
Projected impact of 10 percent U.S. import tariffs on the GDP of China and the U.S. from 2025 to 2040 [Graph], Visual Capitalist, February 5, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1609839/china-impact-of-us-tariffs-on-gdp/
