"How likely do you think it is that there will be a major conflict involving most countries in the world in the next 20 years?"
(August 2019 to Jan uary 2026)
Characteristic
Net likely
Net unlikely
Don't know
Aug 2019
63%
25%
11%
Feb 2020
61%
26%
13%
Aug 2020
63%
25%
11%
Jan 2021
55%
31%
14%
Aug 2021
58%
29%
13%
Jan 2022
63%
24%
13%
Aug 2022
74%
16%
9%
Feb 2023
71%
18%
11%
Aug 2023
72%
17%
11%
Jan 2024
75%
16%
9%
Aug 2024
77%
14%
9%
Jan 2025
74%
16%
10%
Aug 2025
75%
16%
9%
Jan 2026
77%
13%
10%
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As of January 2026, approximately 77 percent of people in Great Britain thought that it was either very likely or somewhat likely there will be a major world conflict within the next 20 years, compared with just 13 percent who thought it was unlikely.Â
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YouGov. (January 28, 2026). "How likely do you think it is that there will be a major conflict involving most countries in the world in the next 20 years?" (August 2019 to Jan uary 2026) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 26, 2026, from /statistics/1448589/uk-world-conflict-likelihood-survey/
YouGov. ""How likely do you think it is that there will be a major conflict involving most countries in the world in the next 20 years?" (August 2019 to Jan uary 2026)." Chart. January 28, 2026. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 26, 2026. /statistics/1448589/uk-world-conflict-likelihood-survey/
YouGov. (2026). "How likely do you think it is that there will be a major conflict involving most countries in the world in the next 20 years?" (August 2019 to Jan uary 2026). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 26, 2026. /statistics/1448589/uk-world-conflict-likelihood-survey/
YouGov. ""How Likely Do You Think It Is That There Will Be a Major Conflict Involving Most Countries in The World in The next 20 Years?" (August 2019 to Jan Uary 2026)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 28 Jan 2026, /statistics/1448589/uk-world-conflict-likelihood-survey/
YouGov, "How likely do you think it is that there will be a major conflict involving most countries in the world in the next 20 years?" (August 2019 to Jan uary 2026) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1448589/uk-world-conflict-likelihood-survey/ (last visited July 26, 2026)
"How likely do you think it is that there will be a major conflict involving most countries in the world in the next 20 years?" (August 2019 to Jan uary 2026) [Graph], YouGov, January 28, 2026. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1448589/uk-world-conflict-likelihood-survey/