*The source clarifies in-classroom instruction as instruction either in a physical classroom, or as instruction as effective as in-classroom instruction.
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Estimated number of high-school dropouts due to COVID-19, by scenario U.S. 2020
Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, many schools in the United States had to make the switch to distance learning rather than in-person classes. Because of the switch to online learning, it is estimated that if in-classroom instruction does not resume until fall 2021, that there will be an additional *** million high-school dropouts in the U.S.
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McKinsey & Company. (June 1, 2020). Estimated number of additional high-school dropouts due to COVID-19 in the United States in 2020, by scenario (in 1,000s) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 29, 2026, from /statistics/1197422/estimated-number-high-school-dropouts-covid-19-scenario-us/
McKinsey & Company. "Estimated number of additional high-school dropouts due to COVID-19 in the United States in 2020, by scenario (in 1,000s)." Chart. June 1, 2020. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 29, 2026. /statistics/1197422/estimated-number-high-school-dropouts-covid-19-scenario-us/
McKinsey & Company. (2020). Estimated number of additional high-school dropouts due to COVID-19 in the United States in 2020, by scenario (in 1,000s). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 29, 2026. /statistics/1197422/estimated-number-high-school-dropouts-covid-19-scenario-us/
McKinsey & Company. "Estimated Number of Additional High-school Dropouts Due to Covid-19 in The United States in 2020, by Scenario (in 1,000s)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 1 Jun 2020, /statistics/1197422/estimated-number-high-school-dropouts-covid-19-scenario-us/
McKinsey & Company, Estimated number of additional high-school dropouts due to COVID-19 in the United States in 2020, by scenario (in 1,000s) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1197422/estimated-number-high-school-dropouts-covid-19-scenario-us/ (last visited July 29, 2026)
Estimated number of additional high-school dropouts due to COVID-19 in the United States in 2020, by scenario (in 1,000s) [Graph], McKinsey & Company, June 1, 2020. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1197422/estimated-number-high-school-dropouts-covid-19-scenario-us/