Aerospace and defense, along with U.S.-based manufacturing, are expected to benefit most from rising global trade tensions, with over **** of private equity professionals anticipating a moderate or significant positive impact. Add-ons, take-privates, private credit, and infrastructure show more mixed sentiment, though most respondents lean toward moderate positive or neutral expectations. In contrast, large cross-border deals are seen as the most vulnerable, with ** percent predicting negative or no impact and ** percent expecting significant downside. Overall, capital appears likely to shift toward domestic and defense-oriented strategies, while global deal-making may face increasing headwinds.
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EY. (April 29, 2025). Impact of trade tensions on global capital flows according to private equity (PE) firms as of March 2025 [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 29, 2026, from /statistics/1616219/impact-of-trade-tensions-on-pe-capital-flows/
EY. "Impact of trade tensions on global capital flows according to private equity (PE) firms as of March 2025." Chart. April 29, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 29, 2026. /statistics/1616219/impact-of-trade-tensions-on-pe-capital-flows/
EY. (2025). Impact of trade tensions on global capital flows according to private equity (PE) firms as of March 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 29, 2026. /statistics/1616219/impact-of-trade-tensions-on-pe-capital-flows/
EY. "Impact of Trade Tensions on Global Capital Flows According to Private Equity (Pe) Firms as of March 2025." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 29 Apr 2025, /statistics/1616219/impact-of-trade-tensions-on-pe-capital-flows/
EY, Impact of trade tensions on global capital flows according to private equity (PE) firms as of March 2025 ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1616219/impact-of-trade-tensions-on-pe-capital-flows/ (last visited July 29, 2026)
Impact of trade tensions on global capital flows according to private equity (PE) firms as of March 2025 [Graph], EY, April 29, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1616219/impact-of-trade-tensions-on-pe-capital-flows/
