The RCP 4.5 is considered an intermediate scenario where emissions start declining by 2045. RCP 8.5 considers emissions continue to rise until the end of the century.
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Populations exposed to riverine floods in selected cities 2022-2050, by scenario
The share of the population exposed to riverine floods in Dhaka, India, is forecast to more than double by 2050, in both a medium and high emissions scenario, to more than **** percent. In Ho Chi Minh City, the share of the population exposed to flooding could also double, to **** percent by 2050. South and east Asian populations are expected to be some of the most affected by riverine floods by 2050.
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C40. (June 21, 2022). Share of populations exposed to riverine floods in selected cities worldwide in 2022, and a forecast for 2050, by scenario [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 29, 2026, from /statistics/1415023/global-populations-exposed-riverine-floods-selected-cities-by-scenario/
C40. "Share of populations exposed to riverine floods in selected cities worldwide in 2022, and a forecast for 2050, by scenario." Chart. June 21, 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 29, 2026. /statistics/1415023/global-populations-exposed-riverine-floods-selected-cities-by-scenario/
C40. (2022). Share of populations exposed to riverine floods in selected cities worldwide in 2022, and a forecast for 2050, by scenario. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 29, 2026. /statistics/1415023/global-populations-exposed-riverine-floods-selected-cities-by-scenario/
C40. "Share of Populations Exposed to Riverine Floods in Selected Cities Worldwide in 2022, and a Forecast for 2050, by Scenario." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 21 Jun 2022, /statistics/1415023/global-populations-exposed-riverine-floods-selected-cities-by-scenario/
C40, Share of populations exposed to riverine floods in selected cities worldwide in 2022, and a forecast for 2050, by scenario ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1415023/global-populations-exposed-riverine-floods-selected-cities-by-scenario/ (last visited July 29, 2026)
Share of populations exposed to riverine floods in selected cities worldwide in 2022, and a forecast for 2050, by scenario [Graph], C40, June 21, 2022. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1415023/global-populations-exposed-riverine-floods-selected-cities-by-scenario/