An upset was defined by the source as a winning team having less than a 33.3 percent chance of a win before a game in the group stage, or a maximum of 47 percent chance during the knockout stage.
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Number of World Cup upsets 1930-2022, by tournament
The 2022 FIFA World Cup had more upsets than any other World Cup, with a total of 15. This included a shock win for Saudi Arabia against eventual champions Argentina, and Morocco's victories against Portugal and Spain.
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BBC. (December 19, 2022). FIFA World Cup tournaments with the most underdog victories as of 2022 [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 19, 2026, from /statistics/1356405/number-world-cup-upsets/
BBC. "FIFA World Cup tournaments with the most underdog victories as of 2022." Chart. December 19, 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 19, 2026. /statistics/1356405/number-world-cup-upsets/
BBC. (2022). FIFA World Cup tournaments with the most underdog victories as of 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 19, 2026. /statistics/1356405/number-world-cup-upsets/
BBC. "Fifa World Cup Tournaments with The Most Underdog Victories as of 2022." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 19 Dec 2022, /statistics/1356405/number-world-cup-upsets/
BBC, FIFA World Cup tournaments with the most underdog victories as of 2022 ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1356405/number-world-cup-upsets/ (last visited July 19, 2026)
FIFA World Cup tournaments with the most underdog victories as of 2022 [Graph], BBC, December 19, 2022. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1356405/number-world-cup-upsets/
