The reference scenario can be found . According to the source, it is based on a business-as-usual trend estimate, given known technology and technological and demographic trends.
The statistic refers to electricity generation capacity of electricity-only and combined-heat-and-power plants that have a regulatory status.
Citation formats
Projected renewable power capacity in the U.S. 2024-2050, by scenario
Renewable electricity generation capacity in the United States is projected to grow continuously in the coming decades, albeit at varying rates, depending on market developments. In a scenario of low cost for renewables, the installed capacity in the U.S. could surpass *** terawatts in 2050. In contrast, should costs be too high to be competitive, capacity can be as low as *** gigawatts that year.
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EIA. (April 8, 2025). Renewable electricity generation capacity in the United States from 2024 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 15, 2026, from /statistics/1343036/forecast-renewable-electricity-capacity-us-scenario/
EIA. "Renewable electricity generation capacity in the United States from 2024 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts)." Chart. April 8, 2025. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 15, 2026. /statistics/1343036/forecast-renewable-electricity-capacity-us-scenario/
EIA. (2025). Renewable electricity generation capacity in the United States from 2024 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts). ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 15, 2026. /statistics/1343036/forecast-renewable-electricity-capacity-us-scenario/
EIA. "Renewable Electricity Generation Capacity in The United States from 2024 to 2050, by Scenario (in Gigawatts)." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 8 Apr 2025, /statistics/1343036/forecast-renewable-electricity-capacity-us-scenario/
EIA, Renewable electricity generation capacity in the United States from 2024 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts) ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1343036/forecast-renewable-electricity-capacity-us-scenario/ (last visited July 15, 2026)
Renewable electricity generation capacity in the United States from 2024 to 2050, by scenario (in gigawatts) [Graph], EIA, April 8, 2025. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1343036/forecast-renewable-electricity-capacity-us-scenario/
