The source defines wildfire risk based on the probability of being exposed to a wildfire by 2052.
Minor risk: less than one percent
Moderate risk: up to 6 percent
Major risk: 6 to 14 percent
Extreme risk: greater than 26 percent.
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Number of homes at risk of wildfire in the United States 2052, by risk level
By 2052, the number of houses in the United States at risk of exposure to wildfires is expected to reach nearly ** million. The largest share of these homes, some **** million, will face a minor wildfire risk. However, *** million homes are expected to face an extreme wildfire risk.
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Axios. (May 16, 2022). Forecast number of homes threatened by wildfire in the United States by 2052, by level of risk (in millions) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Retrieved July 26, 2026, from /statistics/1312310/us-homes-at-risk-of-wildfire-by-risk-level/
Axios. "Forecast number of homes threatened by wildfire in the United States by 2052, by level of risk (in millions)." Chart. May 16, 2022. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. Accessed July 26, 2026. /statistics/1312310/us-homes-at-risk-of-wildfire-by-risk-level/
Axios. (2022). Forecast number of homes threatened by wildfire in the United States by 2052, by level of risk (in millions). ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 26, 2026. /statistics/1312310/us-homes-at-risk-of-wildfire-by-risk-level/
Axios. "Forecast Number of Homes Threatened by Wildfire in The United States by 2052, by Level of Risk (in Millions)." ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ Inc., 16 May 2022, /statistics/1312310/us-homes-at-risk-of-wildfire-by-risk-level/
Axios, Forecast number of homes threatened by wildfire in the United States by 2052, by level of risk (in millions) ÌÇÐÄÆƽâ°æ, /statistics/1312310/us-homes-at-risk-of-wildfire-by-risk-level/ (last visited July 26, 2026)
Forecast number of homes threatened by wildfire in the United States by 2052, by level of risk (in millions) [Graph], Axios, May 16, 2022. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1312310/us-homes-at-risk-of-wildfire-by-risk-level/
