The projected fiscal breakeven oil price in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in 2025 was ** U.S. dollars per barrel. This represented a decrease from over ** U.S. dollars per barrel in 2023.
Fiscal breakeven oil price as an indicator
For the countries whose economies rely heavily on oil revenues, the fiscal breakeven oil price serves as an indicator of the country’s financial state. More specifically, it is the minimum barrel price the nation needs to cover its budget expenditures. For instance, the fiscal breakeven oil price in Kuwait was projected to be around ** U.S. dollars per barrel in 2025, while that of Qatar about ** U.S. dollars per barrel. This implies that the Qatari economy may be more resilient to oil price shocks than Kuwait, since it can endure lower prices.
The UAE, fossil fuels, and sustainabilityÂ
Similar to other economies in the region, the UAE had a relatively high share of GDP attributed to oil and gas production. The UAE has large oil reserves, listing among the leading countries in terms of proved oil reserves worldwide. Nevertheless, an economy built around fossil fuels is harmful to the environment and susceptible to oil price shocks, and therefore unsustainable. For these reasons, the Emirati government has devised strategies to build a more resilient economy, that is less dependent on fossil fuels. For example, the planned energy distribution in the UAE aims for renewable energy sources to make up ** percent of the total by 2050.Â
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IMF. (October 14, 2024). Fiscal breakeven oil prices in the United Arab Emirates from 2000 to 2023 with projection to 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 29, 2026, from /statistics/1231212/uae-fiscal-breakeven-oil-prices/
IMF. "Fiscal breakeven oil prices in the United Arab Emirates from 2000 to 2023 with projection to 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel)." Chart. October 14, 2024. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 29, 2026. /statistics/1231212/uae-fiscal-breakeven-oil-prices/
IMF. (2024). Fiscal breakeven oil prices in the United Arab Emirates from 2000 to 2023 with projection to 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 29, 2026. /statistics/1231212/uae-fiscal-breakeven-oil-prices/
IMF. "Fiscal Breakeven Oil Prices in The United Arab Emirates from 2000 to 2023 with Projection to 2025 (in U.S. Dollars per Barrel)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 14 Oct 2024, /statistics/1231212/uae-fiscal-breakeven-oil-prices/
IMF, Fiscal breakeven oil prices in the United Arab Emirates from 2000 to 2023 with projection to 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/1231212/uae-fiscal-breakeven-oil-prices/ (last visited July 29, 2026)
Fiscal breakeven oil prices in the United Arab Emirates from 2000 to 2023 with projection to 2025 (in U.S. dollars per barrel) [Graph], IMF, October 14, 2024. [Online]. Available: /statistics/1231212/uae-fiscal-breakeven-oil-prices/