Projected data is taken from the reference scenario, which is based on central estimates of economic growth and fossil fuel prices and contains all agreed policies where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of impact (i.e. including 'planned' policies).
The government published its Net Zero Strategy on 19 October 2021. Main changes in the Net Zero Strategy Baseline, when compared to previous reference scenarios, can be found on the
Renewables and natural gas are the two electricity generation sources expected to grow the most in the United Kingdom as it pursues its goal of net zero emissions. By 2040, *** gigawatts of additional electricity generating capacity is projected to be built for renewables.
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UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, & GOV.UK. (December 7, 2021). Projected new built electricity generation capacity from all power producers in United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by source (in gigawatts) [Graph]. In ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Retrieved July 22, 2026, from /statistics/496279/cumulative-new-built-power-generation-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, und GOV.UK. "Projected new built electricity generation capacity from all power producers in United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by source (in gigawatts)." Chart. December 7, 2021. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. Accessed July 22, 2026. /statistics/496279/cumulative-new-built-power-generation-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, GOV.UK. (2021). Projected new built electricity generation capacity from all power producers in United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by source (in gigawatts). ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ. ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc.. Accessed: July 22, 2026. /statistics/496279/cumulative-new-built-power-generation-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, and GOV.UK. "Projected New Built Electricity Generation Capacity from All Power Producers in United Kingdom (Uk) from 2020 to 2040, by Source (in Gigawatts)." ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ Inc., 7 Dec 2021, /statistics/496279/cumulative-new-built-power-generation-uk/
UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy & GOV.UK, Projected new built electricity generation capacity from all power producers in United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by source (in gigawatts) ÌÇÐÄÆÆ½â°æ, /statistics/496279/cumulative-new-built-power-generation-uk/ (last visited July 22, 2026)
Projected new built electricity generation capacity from all power producers in United Kingdom (UK) from 2020 to 2040, by source (in gigawatts) [Graph], UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, & GOV.UK, December 7, 2021. [Online]. Available: /statistics/496279/cumulative-new-built-power-generation-uk/